Solo: A Star Wars Story, opens in theatres this weekend, and it’s expected to make a mountain of money over its first weekend in the US and Canada–but not as much as the three Star Wars movies that came before it. According to The Hollywood Reporter, Solo is tracking to make between $130 million and $150 million over the upcoming four-day Memorial Day weekend. The current Memorial Day weekend record-holder is Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End, which made $139.8 million over the four-day long weekend in 2007.
Solo is the first of the new Star Wars movies that releases in the summer, and it comes just five months after Star Wars: The Last Jedi came to theatres in December 2017. The first of the new films, The Force Awakens, came out in December 2015, with Rogue One following a year later before The Last Jedi premiered a year after that.
Solo is the first of the new films to not open in December, and the first to come less than a year before the previous instalment. It also could be the worst-performing of the four new movies, unless it comes in well ahead of projections. Rogue One is currently the lowest, having made $155.1 million for its opening weekend in December 2016.
The Force Awakens, which benefited massively from being the first new entry in the series in over a decade, holds the opening-weekend Star Wars record with $248 million, while The Last Jedi made $220 million for its opening weekend last year.
The Han Solo standalone movie is launching around the world this week, in markets including China. With all countries accounted for, the film is expected to make more than $300 million worldwide for its opening weekend.
All three of the new Star Wars movies went on to make more than $1 billion during their theatrical runs, so it will be interesting to see how Solo fares in the long run.